Polymarket Bettors Predict U.S. Government Shutdown to End This Week
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket shows 88% of bettors now expect the U.S. government shutdown to conclude between November 12-15—a sharp increase from 30% holding that view just days ago. The platform's contracts track political sentiment as lawmakers negotiate a stopgap funding bill.
A minority Democratic faction broke ranks Sunday to advance a potential deal, offering temporary funding through January in exchange for Republican concessions on healthcare tax credits. The agreement still requires House approval and presidential signature to take effect.
Should this resolution occur within the predicted window, it would terminate the longest federal shutdown in U.S. history. Prediction markets like Polymarket increasingly serve as sentiment indicators for high-stakes political events, though cryptocurrency prices showed muted reaction to the developments.
